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Greg heads-up our team of market and business analyst researchers.
Secured lending to individual consumers continued its upward trend through the end of 2014 and well into 2015. When the Bank of England finally releases 2015's numbers, it is expected that those trends will have continued through the end of last year and into 2016 as well.
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With few market stresses to worry about and plenty of cash to lend at the retail level, UK-based lenders are looking to get money into the hands of consumers whenever possible. That means homeowners with equity will have a steady range of attractive options for secured loans for the foreseeable future.
The mortgage market has been on a steady upward trend since the Bank of England reduced the base rate to 0.5% in 2009. Although there have been ups and downs in the last seven years, a surge in mortgage lending in 2015 bodes very well for 2016. Interest rates and several rule changes now impacting the mortgage market could change things in the future.
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Interest rates remain a positive thing for consumers purchasing individual properties as primary residences. But increased stamp duty and the elimination of the mortgage interest deduction looks bad for landlords. The net result will be a mixed bag for the mortgage lending segment. Individual consumer mortgages should continue to grow while investment mortgages may flounder.
Data released in January 2016 shows that the unsecured personal loan market in the UK grew by 12% in 2015. Past performance combined with future outlook indicate the market will continue to grow through the end of the decade, perhaps reaching Â£50 billion by 2020.
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Ian Howell from Crucial Loans Plc
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Fuelling the growth are increased consumer confidence, the influence of peer-to-peer lending in this segment, new attitudes toward payday loans, and the streamlining of credit check procedures. Few negative pressures are currently observed.
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